DIGITAL TRUST AND CONSUMER BEHAVIOR IN HIGH-RISK MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM NORTHWEST NIGERIA
1 Department of Business Administration, Al-Qalam University Katsina.
* Corresponding author: saicampos1@yahoo.com
* Corresponding author: saicampos1@yahoo.com
Abstract
This study investigates how consumer trust is constructed and operationalized in digital
markets under chronic insecurity, focusing on mobile commerce (m-commerce) in Nigeria’s
banditry-affected Northwest. Drawing on institutional voids’ theory and digital trust
frameworks, the research addresses a critical gap in marketing literature: the lack of
consumer-centered empirical analysis in violently contested environments. Using a
sequential explanatory mixed-methods design, data were collected from 420 consumers and
48 focus group participants across Zamfara, Katsina, and Kaduna states between January
and April 2025. Quantitative analysis via structural equation modeling reveals that
perceived insecurity significantly erodes digital trust (β = –0.41, p < 0.001), yet this effect is
powerfully offset by social verification cues—such as community referrals, religious
signaling, and local identity markers—which emerge as the strongest predictor of trust (β =
0.58, p < 0.001). Crucially, digital trust fully mediates the relationship between SME
marketing engagement and purchase intention (indirect effect = 0.39, 95% CI [0.31, 0.47]),
confirming its pivotal role in market functionality. Qualitative findings further demonstrate
that consumers rely on informal, socially embedded mechanisms rather than technical
platform features to assess seller credibility. These results challenge the universality of
Western-centric digital marketing models and extend institutional voids theory to consumer
behavior, showing that in fragile contexts, trust is conferred through social legitimacy, not
coded into technology. The study concludes with actionable, context-specific
recommendations for SMEs, fintech firms, and policymakers to foster resilient digital
economies in high-risk settings.
Keywords
Digital trust
consumer behavior
institutional voids
mobile commerce
social verification cues
high-risk markets.
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How to Cite
Suleiman, I. A. (2025). DIGITAL TRUST AND CONSUMER BEHAVIOR IN HIGH-RISK MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM NORTHWEST NIGERIA. Bayero Business Review, 9(2), 238-253. https://doi.org/10.67894/bbr.2025.utbbeb73
I. A. Suleiman, "DIGITAL TRUST AND CONSUMER BEHAVIOR IN HIGH-RISK MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM NORTHWEST NIGERIA," Bayero Business Review, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 238-253, December 2025. doi: 10.67894/bbr.2025.utbbeb73