THE EFFECT OF INFLATION ON PURCHASING POWER AND SAVING CULTURE IN NIGERIA
1 Department of Accounting, Faculty of Management Sciences Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, 810211, Nigeria
* Corresponding author: ssalami@abu.edu.ng
* Corresponding author: ssalami@abu.edu.ng
Abstract
Practical economic conditions in Nigeria over the past decade have been characterized by
persistent inflationary pressures, rising living costs, and declining real household income, all of
which have continued to weaken consumers’ ability to maintain stable consumption and savings
patterns. These macroeconomic challenges have raised concerns about how inflation influences
household financial behavior, particularly in terms of purchasing power and saving culture. This
study examined the effect of inflation on purchasing power and saving culture in Nigeria over
the period 2010 to 2024. Three specific objectives guided the investigation: to evaluate how
inflation has affected the purchasing power of Nigerian consumers; to assess the impact of
inflation on the savings culture of individuals and households; and to examine how inflation has
influenced the household savings-purchasing ratio. An ex-post facto research design was
adopted, and annual secondary data on the inflation rate, real GDP per capita, gross domestic
savings as a percentage of GDP, and the savings-purchasing ratio were sourced from the
Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, the National Bureau of Statistics, and the World
Bank World Development Indicators. Ordinary Least Squares regression analysis was employed
to estimate three separate models corresponding to each research hypothesis. Regression results
showed that inflation has a significant negative effect on purchasing power, saving culture and
household savings-purchasing ratio. The study concluded that persistent inflation systematically
erodes household purchasing capacity and weakens saving culture in Nigeria. It recommended
stronger monetary policy commitment to price stability, supply-side fiscal interventions, and
inflation-indexed savings products to protect household financial welfare.
Keywords
Inflation
purchasing power
saving culture
savings-purchasing ratio
References
- Abiodun, A. F., & Okunade, A. A. (2021). Inflation dynamics and household consumption patterns in Nigeria. African Journal of Economic Review, 9(3), 112–130.
- Adelakun, O. J. (2015). The impact of inflation on domestic savings in Nigeria. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 5(2), 399–405.
- Ademola, A. O., Kazeem, B. L. O., & Oladejo, T. M. (2024). Examining the drivers of savings behavior among women entrepreneurs in Nigeria. Jurnal Manajemen Indonesia, 24(2), 257–269.
- Ademola, A. S., & Ubale, L. S. (2025). Investigating the effect of inflation on household standard of living in Nigeria: Empirical evidence using ARDL model. FUDMA Journal of Humanities, Social Science and Creative Arts, 1, Article AHBSI-16.
- Agbasi, O. E., & Onoh, C. O. (2024). Inflation and cooperative savings mobilization in Nigeria: Evidence from the South-East. International Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities Research, 12(1), 45–57.
- Agbasi, O. E., & Onoh, F. (2024). Impact of inflation on savings and investments of cooperative societies in Awka South Local Government Area. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science. https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/Digital-Library/volume-8-issue-3s/2007-2021.pdf
- Agbasi, O. E., & Onoh, J. C. (2024). Inflation and savings behavior in Nigeria's cooperative sector. International Journal of Social Science Research and Review, 7(3), 45–59.
- Agbawn, M. O., & Oderinde, L. O. (2023). International demonstration effect and domestic savings in Nigeria: An econometric analysis. Journal of Academic Research in Economics, Anchor University, Lagos.
- Akaran, M., & Ogundipe, A. A. (2022). Inflation and consumer welfare in Sub-Saharan Africa: A panel cointegration approach. Journal of African Business, 23(4), 567–585. https://doi.org/10.1080/15228916.2021.1879632
- Aryeetey, E. (2000). Saving in Sub-Saharan Africa. African Development Bank.
- Ayebaemi, E. A., & Amaegberi, M. A. (2025). Consumers' spending and economic performance: Nigeria under investigation. International Journal of Intellectual Discourse, 8(1).
- Becerra, O., Cavallo, E., & Noy, I. (2015). International consumption patterns and demonstration effects. Journal of International Economics, 95(2), 192–205.
- Bello, M. A. and Umar, K. (2019). Credit Quality and Financial Performance of Deposit Money Banks in Nigeria. Bayero Journal of Management Sciences, Vol. 2.https://bayerojoms.ng/?page_id=268
- BusinessDay. (2023, July 10). Nigerians struggle to save as inflation bites harder, KPMG report.
- BusinessDay. (2023, October 9). 93% of Nigerians save despite rising inflation, KPMG.
- Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). (2022). Statistical bulletin (Vol. 33). Abuja: CBN Publications.
- Chiyem, I. R., & Elozino, U. E. (2024). Impact of dollar on naira exchange rate on consumer purchasing power in Nigeria. Journal of Business and African Economy, 10(5), 81–95.
- Chukwu, A. C., & Nwosu, E. O. (2021). Inflation and the erosion of real wages in Nigeria: An ARDL approach. Journal of Applied Economics and Policy, 6(2), 45–60.
- Chukwu, M. F., Anyanwu, K. E., Ene, O. J., & Obasi, I. A. (2024). Domestic savings and economic growth in Nigeria (1981–2021). International Journal of Advanced Multidisciplinary Research Studies, 4(6), 71–81.
- Duesenberry, J. (1949). Income, saving and the theory of consumer behavior. Harvard University Press.
- Emughedi, O. (2025). The effect of petrol price hike on the purchasing power of average household in Nigeria. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), 9(4).
- Fisher, I. (1911). The purchasing power of money. Macmillan.
- Friedman, M. (1957). A theory of the consumption function. Princeton University Press.
- Friedman, M. (1994). Money mischief: Episodes in monetary history. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt.
- Gbenga, A. S., Osunaiye, D. S., Paul, J., & Adegoriola, A. (2024). The impact of inflation and household consumption in Nigeria. Journal of Arid Zone Economy, 4(5), 19–34.
- Guardian News. (2023, December 15). Nigeria's inflation hits 28.20% in November. The Guardian Nigeria.
- Ijaz, S., Irfan, M., & Hanif, I. (2021). Inflation, savings behaviour, and financial inclusion in emerging markets. Borsa Istanbul Review, 21(3), 210–223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2020.11.004
- IJRISS. (2025). A quantitative study of Nigerian consumers' perceptions: Persistent inflation and its impact on purchasing power. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS).
- International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2023). World economic outlook: Inflation pressures and policy responses. Washington, DC: IMF Publications.
- International Monetary Fund. (2024). World economic outlook database, October 2024 [Dataset]. IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2024/October
- Kehinde, S. (2025). Impact of inflation on consumer spending habits and its general implications in Sub-Saharan Africa. West Science Business and Management, 3(2), 178–198.
- Kolawole, B. O., & Omobitan, O. A. (2020). Inflation, financial development, and household savings in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Development Studies, 8(1), 1–15.
- Luvanda, A. M., & Shaban, A. (2021). Determinants of saving culture among households in East Africa. Eastern Africa Social Science Research Review, 37(2), 59–83.
- Metieh, & Mgbomene. (2023). Effects of interest rates and inflation on total investment in Nigeria. [Complete citation needed].
- Modigliani, F. (1966). The life-cycle hypothesis of saving, the demand for wealth, and the supply of capital. Social Research, 33(2), 160–217.
- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). (2023). Consumer price index report. Abuja: NBS Publications.
- National Bureau of Statistics. (2010–2024). Consumer price index monthly report December editions (Annual series). NBS. https://nigerianstat.ng.gov.ng/elibrary?queries[search]=consumer+price+index
- National Bureau of Statistics. (Various years, 2010–2024). Annual abstract of statistics. NBS. https://nigerianstat.ng.gov.ng/elibrary?queries[search]=abstract+of+statistics
- National Bureau of Statistics. (Various years, 2010–2024). Nigeria gross domestic product report (Quarterly/Annual). NBS. https://nigerianstat.ng.gov.ng/elibrary?queries[search]=gross+domestic+product
- Nurkse, R. (1953). Problems of capital formation in underdeveloped countries. Oxford University Press.
- Nwaka, I. D., Okoye, L. U., & Chijindu, E. C. (2020). Inflation and household saving–consumption behaviour in Nigeria: Evidence from the nonlinear ARDL model. Future Business Journal, 6(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-020-00026-1
- Obi, C. A., & Yakubu, A. M. (2021). Inflation and real purchasing power in Nigeria: Evidence from the ARDL methodology. Nigerian Journal of Economic Studies, 9(1), 22–41.
- Obinukwu, & Adurogboye. (2025). Inflation, exchange-rate volatility, SME performance, and household savings. [Complete citation needed].
- Ojo, & Shittu. (2020). Household welfare under inflationary conditions: A CGE model approach. [Complete citation needed].
- Oladipo, O. S., & Alege, P. O. (2019). Macroeconomic determinants of household savings in Nigeria. CBN Journal of Applied Statistics, 10(2), 145–170.
- Olabisi, M., & Lawal, A. (2020). Inflation and cost-of-living crisis in developing economies: Evidence from Nigeria. Journal of Development Policy and Practice, 5(2), 178–195.
- Olaniyi, E. O., & Adeoye, A. B. (2022). Inflation, exchange rate volatility, and consumer welfare in Nigeria: A time-series investigation. Journal of Economic Structures, 11(22), 1–18.
- Onaga, N. (2024). Investigating the role of Isusu savings scheme as a viable tool for promoting social inclusion: The case study of Udi community, Nigeria. [Complete citation needed].
- Orji, J. O., Otto, G., & Gbimoiye, S. N. (2024). Financial capability of households and savings in Nigeria. DiamondBridge Economics and Business Journal, 4(2).
- Osuji, C. C. (2020). Inflation and household consumption in Nigeria: An empirical investigation. Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies, 62(2), 101–120.
- Osuji, C. C. (2020). Inflation and household consumption patterns in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 11(9), 120–132.
- Osuji, O. (2020). Effect of inflation on household final consumption expenditure in Nigeria (1981–2018). Journal of Economics and Development Studies, 8(1).
- Oyadeyi, O. O., Ukoli, K., Chandiramani, A., Rosas, J., Luo, J., & Oyadeyi, O. A. (2025). The cost of living crisis in Nigeria: The impact of food and commodity prices on household purchasing power and their implications for economic wellbeing. Imperial College Business School & University of Ibadan.
- Patrick, O. (2024). The impact of taxation and inflation on consumption in Nigeria. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Applied Science (IJRIAS), 9(7), 719–731.
- Rius, A., & Román, C. (2021). Consumption imitation and savings behavior in developing economies. World Development, 140, 105–129.
- UNDP. (2023). Economic alternatives for Sub-Saharan Africa. UNDP Africa Policy Brief.
- Wheat, C., & Eckerd, G. (2022). The purchasing power of household incomes from 2019 to 2022. JPMorgan Chase Institute.
- Wikipedia. (2025). List of African countries by GDP (nominal).
- Wikipedia. (2025). List of countries by GDP (nominal).
- World Bank. (2022). Nigeria development update: Rising prices and household welfare erosion. Washington, DC: World Bank Publications.
- World Bank. (2024). Nigeria economic update: Turning the corner. World Bank Group.
- World Bank. (2024). Nigeria inflation rate 1960–2024. Macrotrends.
- World Bank. (2024). GDP per capita (current US$) Nigeria [Dataset]. World Development Indicators. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?locations=NG
- World Bank. (2024). Gross domestic savings (% of GDP) Nigeria [Dataset]. World Development Indicators. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDS.TOTL.ZS?locations=NG
- World Bank. (2024). Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) Nigeria [Dataset]. World Development Indicators. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG?locations=NG
- World Bank. (2024). Nigeria country data dashboard [Interactive portal]. https://data.worldbank.org/country/nigeria
- World Bank. (2024). Nigeria economic update: Turning the corner. World Bank Group. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/
How to Cite
Suleiman, S., & Chamba, M. S. (2026). THE EFFECT OF INFLATION ON PURCHASING POWER AND SAVING CULTURE IN NIGERIA. Bayero Business Review, 10(1), 54-91. https://doi.org/10.67894/bbr.2026.rzghgoll
S. Suleiman, and M. S. Chamba, "THE EFFECT OF INFLATION ON PURCHASING POWER AND SAVING CULTURE IN NIGERIA," Bayero Business Review, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 54-91, June 2026. doi: 10.67894/bbr.2026.rzghgoll